IP, JAMN, JNPR, GLD, S


International Paper (IP:NYSE) IP came in with a wonderful quarter and shares traded up over 2 percent on Thursday. IP is standing strong on it’s Temple Inland acquisition and investors seem to like old school stocks when the market is uncertain. IP is paying more than a 3% dividend and has nice support in the mid $26 range.

Jammin Java (JAMN:OB) Where is the bottom on this penny stock ? It seems like the promo is over, but the message boards are still extremely active on this name. They are probably filled with investors who didn’t take profits on the way up when they could have. The .53 cent level remains and important one if tested.

Juniper Networks (JNPR:NASDAQ) JNPR had a horrible earnings report, and shares were consequently smashed, but there was a school of thought that a bounce could come if the market was steady. We’ll the market was fine on Thursday, but the was no rally in JNPR. Maybe it just needs one more day to was out weak hands, and shorts could cash in going into the weekend.

SPDR Gold Trust (GLD:NYSE) I realize that following trends is usually wise, but I just hear far too many people that think gold will be at $2000 per ounce on a short term basis. While gold looks incredible on a technical basis, it just seems like there are too many bulls out there. However, there is a ton of support at $145 in case of a pullback. Add GLD to your ETF list.

Sprint Nextel (S:NYSE) Here is a low priced NYSE issue that just looks broken. Some are blaming the lack of a relationship with Apple (AAPL:NASDAQ) and others are pointing to the Clearwire (CLWR:NASDAQ) stake. Either way S doesn’t look good, but sentiment could change in a heartbeat on IPhone related rumors. Add Sprint to your list of stocks on a just in case basis.

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GSV Capital Corp – GSVC


gsvc1 GSVC   Playing the Facebook IPO ?As many of you already know, social networking IPO’s have been red hot in the recent months, despite a broader market that has been sketchy at best. Recently, the  LinkedIn IPO (LNKD:NASDAQ) and Zillow (Z:NYSE) have made massive gains for investors who were lucky enough to get in at the offering price. IPO investors also have Zynga and Groupon to look forward to in the near future, but even these two major names pale in comparison to the mother load of all social networking stocks. Yes, of course it’s Facebook.

Now, here are a few ways to participate in Facebook by using existing equities before it comes public. The first one is Microsoft (MSFT:NASDAQ). MSFT owns stakes in many private companies, so the stake in Facebook really isn’t a surprise. Plus, MSFT has an enormous market cap already. So the Facebook position probably will be nothing more than a blip on the radar. The second company is Mail.ru (MAIL.LON), this is a name that isn’t familiar to many U.S. investors, but the company is also a large one and also probably won’t be impacted much by their impressive pre-IPO position. Mail.ru owns a little less than 2.5% of Facebook.

Now the third way to play Facebook makes a lot more sense when you think about it. Plus, the company is a name that most are not familiar with. However, when you look at GSV Capital Corp (GSVC:NASDAQ) it seems to make sense. GSVC is business development company that went public at $15 back in April, and as many BDC’s often do, shares traded down after the offering to below $10 in June. Later in the month, Michael Moe, GSVC‘s CEO and co-founder of ThinkEquity pulled of a major PR coup. Moe announced that GSVC had purchased 225,000 shares of Facebook at a cost of 29.28 per share. To put Moe’s purchase price in perspective, Facebook is worth $87.5 billion at $35 per share, and it has traded at that price on SharesPost.

GSVC files to issue 100 Million in Stock


Kate Kelly of CNBC recently reported that Facebook’s valuation could be as much as or even exceed $100 million on the IPO date and that is without counting a first day pop in the stock. So it seems safe to say at this point that Moe made a wise call on the transaction, and shares of GSVC responded trading up to $19.97 after announcing it’s Facebook stake. But, GSVC recently filed to issue as much as $100 million in stock, which is sizable considering that the company currently has a market cap of $52.5 million. This type of impending dilution has obviously weighed on shares of GSVC.

But, the purpose of this piece is not to debate Facebook’s valuation or even GSVC‘s for that matter. The purpose is to point out that GSVC will be traded on a momentum type basis leading up to the Facebook IPO. Now if this secondary offering is somehow canceled, due to market conditions, we could see a nice rally in GSVC, solely based on short covering. We could also see pure hype move GSVC higher as it did recently, and the closer we get to the Facebook IPO, the more exposure GSVCwill get, especially if Facebook resets it’s valuation higher or if Moe adds another high profile deal to the portfolio.

So add GSVC to you list of stocks to watch, but it’s probably wise to let the dust clear from the upcoming secondary offering before considering acting. Just keep in mind that GSVC has great potential to mimic the interest of Facebook. Even after the offering, GSVC will still have a small market cap and a relatively low share price for aggressive types to trade from both a long and short basis.

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GMCR, KKD, HFBG, BCCI, EMR


Green Mountain Coffee (GMCR:NASDAQ) GMCR absolutely killed it with their numbers and this heavily shorted stock could rally even further if we see some positive debt crisis news overnight. Just be careful of Bob Pisani talking about GMCR earnings quality if you are currently long the name.

Krispy Kreme (KKD:NYSE) The stock looks a little oversold since it’s run to the $10 level. KKD has made an impressive earnings reversal in the the last quarter, but probably should have rallied on the back of the super hot Dunkin Brands IPO (DNKN:NASDAQ). KKD could be a tremendous bounce candidate if the market craters and small caps are sold off. Keep KKD on your list of stocks.

Hall of Fame Beverages (HFBG.OB) This once hot penny stock now seems to be an afterthought to most low priced aggressive traders. However, the CEO of HFBG seemed to make some shareholder friendly comments recently, but still shares have traded lower. Check back for an additional piece on HFBG and add it to your penny stock list for now.

Baristas Coffee (BCCI.PK) This gimmicky coffee play is currently in a downtrend after making a huge move in May. Back then BCCI seemed to be one of the best penny stocks to buy, but as usual, some greedy bulls got slaughtered because they didn’t take profits on the way up. Keep in mind that BCCI does generate revenues and might see some action because GMCR may have just heated up the coffee stocks again.

Emerson Electric (EMR:NYSE)
Some used to call EMR “The poor man’s GE”, despite the fact that over the years EMR was a solid performer for investors. Shares are down after earnings, but EMR’s outlook on the economy is what is scary. EMR feels that we could see a slowdown in the second half. There does seem to be some support at the $50 psyche level, but this current market isn’t made for bottom fishers.

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NFLX, POTG, KKD, AVL, JAMN

 
Krispy Kreme Doughnuts (KKD:NYSE) Many thought with KKD would rally in anticipation of a valuation surge based on the upcoming Dunkin Brands IPO. However, KKD is still under $10 and has a market cap of roughly $615 million. Still, shares of KKD be watched, especially if Dunkin Brands does as well as many think it will.
 
Portage Resources (POTG.PK) This stock was absolutely a beast earlier in July. Some thought shares of POTG would be the next big promo stock. However, in the last 5 days the chart looks atrocious. Other than a bounce on strong volume earlier on Tuesday, shares of POTG have been in a major downtrend. But, that could change if we see a broader market rally and penny stock traders become more aggressive. Especially, the bounce buyers.
 
Netflix (NFLX:NASDAQ) Yesterday we highlighted $250 as a contested level in NFLX. Shares held the $25ish level and considering the numbers, staged a little bit of a rally on volume that was almost 3x the norm. Maybe the rally was caused by bounce buyers ? Or maybe it was simply short covering ? Either way the sidelines might be the best place to be.
 
Avalon Rare Metals (AVL:AMEX) AVL is one of the lower priced legitimate rare earth stocks in the market. Shares rallied sharply after news of General Electric (GE:NYSE) apparently issued a paper on rare earth prices increasing. These stocks can go crazy and create massive gains for longs when the stars align, but we are still in a weak market. The $7 level also seems to create resistance.

Jammin Java (JAMN:OB) JAMN has been nothing less than a disaster for those who didn’t sell into the rally, and the message board community is extremely negative on the name. Will this sentiment and the Wednesday’s Dunkin Brands create a bounce ? Will the naked shorts finally cover ? Add JAMN to you penny stock list on a just in case basis.

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BRCM, SANM, AAPL, MPWR, BIDU

 
Here are some NASDAQ names that are trading with unusual volume.
 
Broadcom (BRCM:NASAQ) Shares of BRCM are one again on the unusual volume list, but this time it’s for absolutely shattering Wall St earnings estimates. BRCM is well followed by the major brokerages and is definitely one to watch.
 
Sanmina SCI Corp (SANM) Shares of Sanmina also are up huge after a positive earnings report and in line Q4 guidance. Remember, that there are traders who like to play lower priced NASDAQ stocks like SANM when they breakout on unusual volume.
 
Apple Computer (AAPL:NASDAQ) AAPL is currently at war with the $400 handle and will be the subject of much debate by talking heads and pundits. However, traders are already talking about a run at $500.
 
Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR:NASDAQ) Although MPWR is fairly thin, shares are trading higher today on unusual volume. Just remember that MPWR is reporting earnings tonight and this name can be very volatile.
 
Baidu (BIDU:NASDAQ) Shares of this name have been a little more tame since the stock split, but still aren’t for the feint of heart. BIDU had estimates and price target raised today so it makes sense that day trading types are drawn into the name. Despite the down market, BIDU is up on some nice unusual volume.

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